Метеорологический Синтезирующий Центр - Восток (МСЦ-В)
МСЦ-В занимается выполнением оперативных и научных исследований по оценке уровней загрязнения воздуха тяжелыми металлами (ТМ) и стойкими органическими загрязнителями (СОЗ).
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Перспективные направления работ
Буклет "МСЦ-В - виды деятельности и результаты"
Ежегодный отчет ЕМЕП "Тяжелые металлы и СОЗ: Оценка загрязнения токсичными веществами в региональном и глобальном масштабах"
Сотрудничество с АНО ЭСЦ "Восток" по содействию российским предприятиям в:
- выполнении требований регламентов по безопасному обращению химических веществ
- реализации требований CBAM - Механизма Трансграничного Углеродного Регулирования (Углеродный след)
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В соответствии со своим мандатом MСЦ-В провел модельную оценку уровней загрязнения тяжелыми металлами и СОЗ на 2021 год. Были рассчитаны концентрации в воздухе, потоки выпадений и информация о трансграничном переносе Pb, Cd, Hg, ПАУ, ПХДД/Ф, ПХБ-153 и ГХБ. Результаты описаны в EMEP Status report и доступны в Базе данных МСЦ-В.
Было продолжено исследование Eurodelta-Carb моделей Б(a)П, начатое Целевой группой по мониторингу и моделированию (TFMM) в 2021 году в рамках более широкого научного исследования по моделированию вторичного органического аэрозоля и черного углерода. Основными задачами исследования Eurodelta-Carb по Б(a)П был анализ производительности моделей оценки качества воздуха и неопределенности их результатов. Читать далее...
MСЦ-В внёс вклад в работу Целевой группы по полушарному переносу загрязнения воздуха (TF HTAP), направленную на оценку загрязнения ртутью и СОЗ. В частности, Центр участвовал в совместных мероприятиях TF HTAP, направленных на многомодельную оценку и атрибуцию тенденций и будущих сценариев загрязнения ртутью, а также на оценку влияния лесных пожаров и сжигания биомассы на загрязнение окружающей среды различными загрязнителями. Читать далее...
Экспертами MСЦ-В был подготовлен информационный обзор о потенциально опасных химических веществах (ПХВ), таких как гексабромциклододекан (ГБХД), полихлорированные нафталины (ПХН) и пентахлорбензол (ПХБ). В обзор вошли нормативно-правовые акты, информация об их производстве, использовании и выбросах, а также результаты мониторинга и модельной оценки их переноса и судьбы в окружающей среде. Читать далее...
В соответствии с договором между MSC-E и Комиссией OSPAR проведен анализ секторов выбросов Pb, Cd и Hg в 2020 году в странах-участницах OSPAR. Кроме того, проведена модельная оценка атмосферных поступлений Pb, Cd и Hg в регионы OSPAR. Результаты анализа данных о выбросах и модельной оценки потоков выпадений на область OSPAR были представлены на гибридном совещании, организованном Комиссией OSPAR. Результаты этой работы были обобщены в техническом отчете [Ilyin et al., 2023].
В рамках долгосрочного сотрудничества между ЕМЕП и Хельсинкской комиссией (HELCOM) проводится ежегодная оценка нагрузки воздушного загрязнения тяжелыми металлами и СОЗ на Балтийское море. Читать далее...
MСЦ-В продолжил сотрудничество и обмен данными со Стокгольмской конвенцией по СОЗ. Сбор и уточнение национальных кадастров выбросов СОЗ в рамках Стокгольмской конвенции предоставляет дополнительную информацию для оценки выбросов стран ЕМЕП. Кроме того, национальные кадастры выбросов используются для обновления сценариев глобальных выбросов для моделирования в глобальном масштабе и оценки граничных условий региона ЕМЕП. Также, обновленные данные мониторинга концентраций СОЗ, собранные в хранилище данных Глобального плана мониторинга (GMP DWH), используются для анализа глобального переноса СОЗ.
Assessment of cadmium atmospheric pollution levels in Poland in 2014 has been completed. The work has been carried out in close cooperation with national experts. The assessment includes analysis of national emission and monitoring data, model-based source apportionment in particular Polish voivodships and pollution in the selected cities. Modelling was carried out with spatial resolution 0.1°x0.1° using the latest verion of GLEMOS model.
Modeling results based on official and national emission data were compared with concentrations in air observed at EMEP and Polish stations. In was found that the model tended to underestimate the observed levels in cold period. Analysis of factors responsible for seasonal changes of pollution levels led to conclusion that the identified discrepancies were linked with possible underestimation of cadmium emission from sector ‘Residential Combustion’.
In order to improve the model performance and to provide the national experts with the results which better agree with measurement values emission scenario has been developed. The suggested emission scenario assumes higher emissions in the southern and south-western part of Poland in cold period.
Compared to national total value of the emission provided by national experts, annual scenario emission in Poland is 26% higher. This value is smaller than the uncertainty of annual national emissions estimated by national experts.
The usage of higher emissions from residential combustion sector resulted in the improvement of agreement between modelled and observed concentrations in air in cold period. For the warm period the differences are negligible because the scenario assumes the increase of emissions only in cold period.
Scenario emission values were used for calculation of country-specific information on cadmium pollution in Poland. Deposition from anthropogenic sources are caused by national (Polish) emission sources and by transboundary transport of cadmium emitted to the atmosphere by foreign sources. For the country as a whole around 21% of anthropogenic deposition comes from foreign sources while national sources are responsible for other 79%. Contribution of foreign sources to anthropogenic deposition in the south-western part of the country is the lowest varying from 10 to 20%, and in some parts of these voivodships is even below 10%. In the central part of Poland the contribution of foreign sources ranges from 10% to 30%. In the regions near the state borders the contribution exceeds 50%.
The main emission source categories in Poland include ‘A_PublicPower’, ‘B_Industry’, ’C_OtherStationaryComb’ (residential Combustion), ’D_Fugitive’ and ‘F_RoadTransport’. Model calculations were done for these five sectors, and emissions from the remaining categories were grouped into ‘Remaining sectors’. Contributions of these sectors as well as foreign sources to anthropogenic deposition in Poland were calculated for a country as a whole and for its particular voivodships. The main contributors to cadmium deposition are sectors Industry and Residential Combustion.
Special attention was paid to evaluation of pollution in cities of Poland. Although the model has not been designed to simulate urban-scale pollution levels, the calculated annual mean concentrations agree with the observed values for most of the selected Polish cities. Spatial correlation coefficient is 0.71 and relative bias is -8%.
Seasonal variability of the observed concentrations was also reproduced by the model. Correlation coefficient between averaged over stations values is 0.95. For most of stations the correlation between modelled and observed monthly mean values is higher than 0.6.
Concentrations of cadmium in air in Polish cities are presented as a sum of two components. The first one comes from anthropogenic sources outside city area (external) and the second is produced by city sources (urban increment). In large cities such as Warsaw, Krakow, Gdansk, Katowice, Poznan city sources contribute significant (20 – 70%) faction to anthropogenic concentrations. In other considered cities the fraction of city sources is relatively small making up from 1-2% to about 10-15%.
Calculated seasonal changes of urban increment were compared with those based on observations in cities located in the north-western part of Poland. In a number of Polish cities seasonal changes were captured by the model. Both modelled and observed values of the urban increment exhibited higher levels in cold season and lower values in warm season. At the same time, the model failed to reproduce the measurement-based increment at some other cities, which was connected with underestimation of Cd emissions from the ‘Residential combustion’ sector.
The study demonstrated that the model can be used as a tool for evaluation of national emissions. Using modelling and observed information it is possible to identify regions where emission may need further improvement. However, this activity requires close cooperation with national experts and relevant EMEP centres and Task Forces.
Available official or national emission data contain uncertainties which affect results of assessment of pollution levels. The usage of emission scenarios or expert (non-official) emission estimates can produce more realistic, from viewpoint of comparison with the observed values, alternative results of pollution levels assessment. These alternative results could be presented along with the results based on official emission data.
MSC-E continues co-operation with the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (TF HTAP) on assessment of Hg and POP pollution. In particular, the Centre took part in the TF HTAP virtual meetings focused on global emissions and modelling of Hg (May 18, 2022, http://htap.org/event/global-emissions-and-modeling-of-mercury/) and POPs/CEC (May 25, 2022, http://htap.org/event/global-emissions-and-modeling-of-pops-cec/). The meetings were aimed at discussion of practical programs for fulfilment of the near-term plans of Hg and POP activities formulated at the TF HTAP Workshops (April 2021).
The meeting on Hg, which was attended by over 50 experts, reviewed the current state of knowledge and on-going activities within various national and international research groups focused on Hg pollution assessment. In particular, available global Hg emissions inventories and future projections were presented and discussed. New developments in Hg multi-media modelling, model applications for near-term and longer-term decision-making and model assessment of Hg pollution in particular regions (the Arctic) were also overviewed. It was agreed that near-term TF HTAP activities on Hg would benefit if formulated in line with the on-going effectiveness evaluation procedure performed under the Minamata Convention on Mercury (MCM). To facilitate further development of the activities program it was decided to form an ad hoc group of scientific experts and hold a number of planning meetings.
During the meeting on POPs, the outcome of recent assessments prepared under AMAP and Stockholm Convention in a field of monitoring and assessment of pollution levels in the Arctic and on the global scale was presented. In addition, development and application of global inventories for unintentionally emitted legacy POPs was overviewed. A number of experts presented results of monitoring studies and progress in the development of advanced modelling techniques to study pollution levels, transport and fate of the CECs and microplastics. Plans of near-term TF HTAP activities in line with on-going and future work of experts in POPs/CECs were discussed. It was agreed to consider opportunities of multi-pollutant studies of combustion-related POPs (e.g. PAHs, PCDD/Fs) and particulate matter, and to continue reviewing the progress in the studies of CECs and microplastics on global and regional scales.
Two scientific workshops on Hg and POPs were jointly organized by Meteorological Synthesizing Center-East (MSC-E) and the Task Force on Hemispheric transport of Air Pollution (TF HTAP) in April 2021. Within the next 2-5 years, the LRTAP Convention is likely to conduct a review of the effectiveness and sufficiency of the Protocols on Heavy Metals and POPs as revised in 2012 and 2009, respectively. The purpose of these workshops was to begin to design cooperative research activities that will enable TF HTAP to better contribute to such a future review. Specifically, to help TF HTAP better assess the regional and extra-regional contribution to long term trends in Hg and POPs and identify additional issues or measures that might be addressed by the LRTAP Convention to protect the environment and human health. Recognizing that Hg, POPs and Chemicals of Emerging Concern are addressed in the Minamata and Stockholm Conventions as well as other regional bodies, including but not limited to the Arctic Council and the European Union, the future work of TF HTAP should be designed to both build upon the findings of recent efforts in other forums and provide useful information back to these other forums to the extent possible.
The workshops were particularly focused on:
Major aims and problems of Hg and POP pollution assessment were discussed by the scientific community including emission estimates, monitoring and modelling. Follow up meetings will be scheduled to further organize cooperative activities identified in the workshops.
Documents:
Agenda of the TF HTAP Workshops on Hg
Agenda of the TF HTAP Workshops on POPs
Policy-relevant scientific questions (to be further discussed)
MSC-E presentations
TFMM provides a forum to the EMEP Centres, national experts, international organizations for scientific consideration and evaluation of activities regarding pollution assessment. MSC-E takes part in the work of the Task Force annually presenting the outcome of its studies on HMs and POPs and discussing a number of topics, particularly, fine spatial resolution modeling and country specific case studies on the assessment of HM pollution levels on national scale, development of global scale multi-pollutant modeling system (GLEMOS).
The EMEP Task Force on Measurements and Modelling (TFMM) held its 23rd meeting online in May 2022. During the meeting MSC-E provided participants with the information on research activities of the Centre in co-operation with national experts in the field of assessment of HM and POP pollution.
Mercury-related research activities were focused on the Arctic region. MSC-E participated in co-operative studies, which followed up the recent AMAP Hg Assessment 2021. Data products obtained in this work as a country-specific case study were used in the national Norwegian Mercury Assessment 2022. The results of the study, including analysis of spatial distribution of Hg pollution levels in Norway, long-term trends of Hg air concentration and deposition to the country and trends in biota, were presented at the TFMM meeting. It was shown that spatial distribution of Hg deposition fluxes over Norway generally corresponded to that of Hg concentrations in mosses. Besides, it was demonstrated that spatial distribution of Hg deposition to waters of North Atlantic and the Arctic well correlated with concentrations of Hg in fish. Finally, it was indicated that the reduction of Hg concentrations in fish during the recent decade is stronger than the decline of atmospheric deposition.
Evaluation of the effect of wildfires on heavy metal and POPs pollution levels was another research activity presented at the meeting. Four available wildfire databases were examined. Emissions of Pb and B(a)P from the wildfires in the EMEP region were estimated. Contributions of wildfire emissions to concentrations of Pb and B(a)P were simulated using the GLEMOS model. The modelled effect of wildfires on the pollution levels was validated via comparison with concentrations of wildfire tracers such as CO and PM2.5. It was shown that wildfires can significantly contribute to air concentrations of toxic pollutants in particular countries in certain months. Further steps in model assessment of the effects of wildfires on heavy metal and POP pollution levels were suggested.
Main focus in the research activities on POPs was directed to the PAHs. The activities included participation in the Eurodelta-Carb multi-model assessment of B(a)P and a case study of PAH pollution in Poland. Preliminary results on B(a)P of several modelling groups (EMEP/MSC-E, CEIMAT, INERIS, ENEA, FMI) and their evaluation against measurements were presented. Similarities and differences between the annual mean concentrations and intra-annual variations obtained by participated models and observed levels were examined.
Results of the second phase of the country-scale study of PAH levels in Poland were demonstrated. It was shown that updated national inventory of PAH emissions (reported to EMEP) allowed to improve model assessment of pollution for B(b)F and B(k)F. At the same time, for I(cd)P no improvement was obtained comparing to the previously used national emission inventory.
Special attention was also paid to the contaminants of emerging concern (CECs). Current status of their monitoring, development of emission inventories and modelling approaches was presented. In particular, pilot model simulations of PBDE pollution, based on the expert estimates of emissions, reasonably well reproduced the observed levels and their long-term trends in the EMEP region. Further research and cooperation activities related to HM and POP pollution assessment were proposed.
Joint MSC-E/IEP-NRI/ IDAEA-CSIC /CHMI report
I. Ilyin (METEOROLOGICAL SYNTHESIZING CENTRE – EAST)
A. Degorska (INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION – NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE)
M. Pandolfi (ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AND WATER RESEARCH - SPANISH RESEARCH COUNCIL)
M. Vana (CZECH HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE)
Full text (pdf 14.5 Mb)
Introduction
Chapter 1. INPUT DATA
Chapter 2. ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING CADMIUM LEVELS IN POLAND
Chapter 3. NATIONAL-SCALE ASSESSMENT OF CADMIUM POLLUTION LEVELS
Chapter 4. EVALUATION OF CADMIUM POLLUTION IN POLISH CITIES
Conclusions
References
Annexes
Annex A. DEVELOPMENT OF EMISSION SCENARIO
Annex B. SOURCE-RECEPTOR MATRICES OF CADMIUM DEPOSITION TO POLISH VOIVODSHIPS IN 2014
Annex C. CADMIUM POLLUTION LEVELS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Annex D. MONTHLY-MEAN MODELLED AND OBSERVED CONCENTRATIONS OF CADMIUM AT BACKGROUND URBAN STATIONS IN THE SELECTED CITIES
Версия модели GLEMOS с открытым исходным кодом теперь доступна на
платформе GitHub
8 совместное заседание Рабочей группы по воздействиям и Руководящего органа ЕМЕП, сентябрь 2022 г.
Оценка загрязнения СОЗ в национальном, региональном и глобальном масштабах с акцентом на ПАУ
Оценка загрязнения тяжелыми металлами в рамках ЕМЕП: прогресс и планы
Целевая группа по измерениям и моделированию, май 2022 г.
Оценка загрязнения ПАУ/Б(а)П в глобальном, региональном и национальном масштабах
Новые разработки в области оценки загрязнения тяжелыми металлами и СОЗ
Бюро Руководящего Органа ЕМЕП и Рабочей группы по воздействиям, март 2022
Heavy metal and POP pollution assessment: Progress in 2022-2023 work plan
35-е совещание Целевой Группы МСП-Растительность, февраль 2022 г.
Новые загрязняющие вещества
Некоторые токсичные загрязнители рассматриваются как потенциальные кандидаты для будущей оценки, но для них характерны ограниченные данные и знания об их выбросах, переносе и поведении в окружающей среде (Стратегия для научных органов Конвенции). Они включают:
"Обзор информации о производстве, выбросах, измеренных концентрациях и исследованиях по моделированию для отдельных СЕС собран в рамках совместного проекта ЕМЕП/ХЕЛКОМ (Совместный отчет центров ЕМЕП для ХЕЛКОМ, 2022 г.)
EEA Report 2023 |
MSC-E Technical Report 2/2021 Деятельность МСЦ-В (Case study on Spain, France, Poland) |
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Деятельность стран (Италия, Испания, Польша, Литва, Венгрия, Великобритания) | |
Регламент REACH Полиароматические углеводороды |